Written by

Nikola Mikovic

Will Belarus Invade Western Ukraine?

, 13 June 2022
Nikola Mikovic considers the evidence for whether Russia is set to mobilise its only close European ally in the Ukraine war

Oil, Gas and War: Putin’s Choices in Kazakhstan and Ukraine

, 11 January 2022
Nikola Mikovic looks at the Kremlin's response to two crises on the borders of Russia, and sees strategic energy reserves as a key factor in its decision making
Kazakhstan Russian Troops

Could the Migrant Crisis on the Belarusian-Polish Border Lead to a Major War in Europe?

, 16 November 2021
Nikola Mikovic explains how the weaponisation of refugees by the Belarus dictator Alexander Lukashenko is a serious new escalation in the conflicts between the EU and Russia over recognition, energy supplies and the frozen war in Ukraine

Oil Well Hunt in the Shadow of Ethnic Clashes in Montenegro

, 6 September 2021
The inauguration of the new head of the Serbian Orthodox Church in Montenegro was met with protests and accusations that the Church is a tool for Russian interests

State Kidnapped Belarusian Dissident Roman Protasevich is the Victim of a New Cold War

, 25 May 2021
Nikola Mikovic reports on how the West's reaction to a new wave of suppression in Belarus could drive it closer to Putin and the Kremlin

Is War Between Russia and Ukraine Just a Matter of Time?

, 6 April 2021
Nikola Mikovic analyses the military build-up in Eastern Ukraine as tensions mount again between Kyiv and Moscow

Will Putin’s Russia Set Its Sights on Destabilising Moldova?

, 7 December 2020
Nikola Mikovic reports on developments around Transnistria, Moldova’s Russian-sponsored breakaway region

Russia and Belarus: The Power Play

, 30 November 2020
Nikola Mikovic discusses how energy will define relations between Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko

Russia Could Have Betrayed Armenia for Oil and Gas

, 23 November 2020
Nikola Mikovic examines whether Russia's decision not to support Armenia could have been linked to lucrative energy deals with Azerbaijan

Putin Forced Armenia to Capitulate to Azerbaijan

, 10 November 2020
As the US remains preoccupied with the presidential elections, Nikola Mikovic reports on how Russia appears to be resolving the conflict over the Armenian enclave

The ‘Lukashenko Must Go’ Campaign Faces its Final Crusade

, 26 October 2020
If a national strike fails to bring down Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, opposition forces will be forced to play the long game, reports Nikola Mikovic

Will Trump Benefit from the Azerbaijan–Armenia Conflict?

, 22 October 2020
The United States has entered negotiations at a crucial time for Donald Trump, and for the Nagorno-Karabakh region, reports Nikola Mikovic

Nagorno-Karabakh Ceasefire Evaporates as Putin’s Options Narrow

, 14 October 2020
The conflict between Azerbaijani and Armenian forces continues unabated despite Russia’s resolution attempts, explains Nikola Mikovic

Kyrgyzstan Turmoil: Is Russia Losing its Hold on Central Asia?

, 7 October 2020
Nikola Mikovic reports on the third domino to fall among Putin's allies and questions around the Kremlin's ability to influence its neighbours

Azerbaijan–Armenia Conflict: Braced for Escalation

, 5 October 2020
Nikola Mikovic reports on the intensification of violence between Azerbaijan and Armenia, as foreign superpowers wait in the wings

Who is the Legitimate Leader of Belarus?

, 25 September 2020

Belarus: Are the Russians Coming?

, 28 August 2020

Does Putin Really Want to Destabilise Belarus?

, 3 August 2020

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