Written by
Nikola Mikovic
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Will Belarus Invade Western Ukraine?
Nikola Mikovic considers the evidence for whether Russia is set to mobilise its only close European ally in the Ukraine war

Oil, Gas and War: Putin’s Choices in Kazakhstan and Ukraine
Nikola Mikovic looks at the Kremlin's response to two crises on the borders of Russia, and sees strategic energy reserves as a key factor in its decision making

Could the Migrant Crisis on the Belarusian-Polish Border Lead to a Major War in Europe?
Nikola Mikovic explains how the weaponisation of refugees by the Belarus dictator Alexander Lukashenko is a serious new escalation in the conflicts between the EU and Russia over recognition, energy supplies and the frozen war in Ukraine

Oil Well Hunt in the Shadow of Ethnic Clashes in Montenegro
The inauguration of the new head of the Serbian Orthodox Church in Montenegro was met with protests and accusations that the Church is a tool for Russian interests

State Kidnapped Belarusian Dissident Roman Protasevich is the Victim of a New Cold War
Nikola Mikovic reports on how the West's reaction to a new wave of suppression in Belarus could drive it closer to Putin and the Kremlin

Is War Between Russia and Ukraine Just a Matter of Time?
Nikola Mikovic analyses the military build-up in Eastern Ukraine as tensions mount again between Kyiv and Moscow

Will Putin’s Russia Set Its Sights on Destabilising Moldova?
Nikola Mikovic reports on developments around Transnistria, Moldova’s Russian-sponsored breakaway region

Russia and Belarus: The Power Play
Nikola Mikovic discusses how energy will define relations between Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko
Russia Could Have Betrayed Armenia for Oil and Gas
Nikola Mikovic examines whether Russia's decision not to support Armenia could have been linked to lucrative energy deals with Azerbaijan
Putin Forced Armenia to Capitulate to Azerbaijan
As the US remains preoccupied with the presidential elections, Nikola Mikovic reports on how Russia appears to be resolving the conflict over the Armenian enclave
The ‘Lukashenko Must Go’ Campaign Faces its Final Crusade
If a national strike fails to bring down Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, opposition forces will be forced to play the long game, reports Nikola Mikovic
Will Trump Benefit from the Azerbaijan–Armenia Conflict?
The United States has entered negotiations at a crucial time for Donald Trump, and for the Nagorno-Karabakh region, reports Nikola Mikovic
Nagorno-Karabakh Ceasefire Evaporates as Putin’s Options Narrow
The conflict between Azerbaijani and Armenian forces continues unabated despite Russia’s resolution attempts, explains Nikola Mikovic
Kyrgyzstan Turmoil: Is Russia Losing its Hold on Central Asia?
Nikola Mikovic reports on the third domino to fall among Putin's allies and questions around the Kremlin's ability to influence its neighbours
Azerbaijan–Armenia Conflict: Braced for Escalation
Nikola Mikovic reports on the intensification of violence between Azerbaijan and Armenia, as foreign superpowers wait in the wings