Byline Times is an independent, reader-funded investigative newspaper, outside of the system of the established press, reporting on ‘what the papers don’t say’ – without fear or favour.
To support its work, subscribe to the monthly Byline Times print edition, packed with exclusive investigations, news, and analysis.
In 1916, Britain and France, swaggering imperial overlords of their day, sat down with a map and a cavalier disregard for local realities, slicing up the Middle East like a Sunday roast.
The infamous Sykes-Picot Agreement, a masterclass in imperial arrogance, gave the world borders drawn in ignorance, a legacy of discord that still burns over a century later.
Fast forward to today, and Britain—once the brash Athenian—is now a Melian in a world increasingly dictated by the new Spartans: Trump and Putin. As these latter-day emperors prepare to redraw the map of Ukraine with the same brazen indifference to sovereignty, Britain faces its own existential crisis: does it tie itself to Europe, or does it bet the house on America?

The Prime Minister’s recent pronouncement that Britain need not choose between the US and Europe is not just naïve—it’s downright reckless. The geopolitical plates are shifting, and pretending Britain can hover in a diplomatic limbo is an exercise in dangerous delusion. This is not a theoretical dilemma—it is a stark reality that will define Britain’s security, economic future, and global standing.
The transatlantic alliance, once an unshakeable pillar of Western stability, now resembles a crumbling bridge. Trump, the great dealmaker in his own mind, appears all too willing to trade Ukraine’s sovereignty for a handshake with Putin, with a grander vision of isolating China.
If Britain is to maintain credibility in its steadfast support for Ukraine, it cannot afford strategic ambiguity. It must anchor itself firmly within a European security architecture. Any lingering fantasy of an unbreakable “special relationship” with the US must confront the cold truth: America, under Trump’s isolationist spell, is more unreliable than ever.
The economic crossroads is just as treacherous. Aligning with Trump’s America means embracing a deregulated, oligarch-driven capitalism where plutocrats like Elon Musk dictate policy from their X feeds. It means tying Britain’s fate to an administration that sneers at democratic norms, judicial independence, and the rule of law—principles that any self-respecting Labour Government must uphold.
Let’s not mince words: a Trump-led America is sliding into authoritarianism, a crude and chaotic proto-fascism draped in the Stars and Stripes.
Europe, for all its imperfections, is a vastly preferable alternative. The EU offers a framework of regulated capitalism, robust labour protections, and collective security—an environment far more aligned with Britain’s interests and Labour’s values.
While Brussels is no utopia, its commitment (however inconsistent) to human rights, social solidarity, and pragmatic migration policy makes it a better bet than a nation lurching toward nationalist demagoguery.
Britain’s military posture is another relic in desperate need of modernisation. For too long, we’ve been clinging to an outdated self-image: an island fortress with a mighty navy, capable of projecting power far and wide.
Meanwhile, Poland, historically well-versed in the perils of imperial encroachment, is busy modernising and expanding its armed forces to 500,000 troops. While Warsaw readies itself for the security realities of the 21st century, Britain remains trapped in nostalgia, fixated on an expeditionary model ill-suited to today’s threats. The time for half-measures is over: Britain must fully commit to European collective defence.
And yet, even as the geopolitical storm clouds gather, Britain’s leaders remain blissfully oblivious to the hard truths facing them. Trump’s administration has already raised questions about whether the US will continue supporting the UK’s Trident nuclear program. If Washington pulls the plug, Britain’s so-called independent deterrent will look about as robust as a submarine with screen doors.
Meanwhile, the intelligence-sharing arrangements that underpin UK-US security cooperation are increasingly at risk. With an unpredictable America shifting its priorities, Britain must ask itself: how long can it afford to act as Washington’s loyal sidekick?
The status of US military bases in Britain, including RAF Lakenheath and RAF Mildenhall, is also shrouded in uncertainty. A realignment of US foreign policy could leave Britain scrambling to fill the security vacuum, further underscoring the need for deeper European defence integration.
Instead of continuing to prop up US strategic objectives in the Indo-Pacific, Britain should rethink its commitments and redirect resources towards strengthening European security. If the EU is serious about strategic autonomy, then Britain must be part of that equation—not a distant, half-hearted participant, but a fully engaged architect of Europe’s defence future.
At home, the choice is just as consequential. A far-right populist insurgency, led by Nigel Farage and Reform UK, is waiting in the wings, eager to exploit any Labour misstep. To neutralise this threat, Labour must abandon the self-defeating politics of austerity.
The economic wreckage left in its wake—soaring inequality, declining public services, and growing disillusionment—has been the perfect fertiliser for Trumpist and Farageist demagoguery. Starving the state while fattening the ultra-rich is a surefire way to push desperate voters into the arms of authoritarian opportunists.
Germany, facing its own economic crossroads, offers a crucial lesson. Berlin is turning away from austerity in favour of a strategic Keynesian approach—investing in industrial policy, boosting military readiness, and strengthening European supply chains. Britain must follow suit. If Labour fails to present a bold, investment-driven alternative, it will cede the narrative to the populists who thrive on grievance and economic despair.
The stakes could not be higher. If Labour fails to act decisively, it will reinforce the growing perception that it is a party of dithering technocrats, detached from the concerns of ordinary citizens. This vacuum of leadership will be gleefully filled by the Farages of the world, who excel at stoking division and eroding trust in democratic institutions. Austerity-fuelled militarisation is not the answer—it will only deepen the fractures within British society and hand ammunition to the far-right.
ENJOYING THIS ARTICLE? HELP US TO PRODUCE MORE
Receive the monthly Byline Times newspaper and help to support fearless, independent journalism that breaks stories, shapes the agenda and holds power to account.
We’re not funded by a billionaire oligarch or an offshore hedge-fund. We rely on our readers to fund our journalism. If you like what we do, please subscribe.
The moment demands clarity, not hesitation. The Prime Minister must do more than offer empty platitudes about Britain’s place in the world. It is time to make a choice—unequivocal, unwavering, and bold.
Britain must align itself with Europe’s regulated capitalism and collective security. The alternative—a volatile, Trump-dominated America—is a path towards economic decline, diplomatic irrelevance, and democratic backsliding.
This is not about hedging bets or playing both sides. This is about Britain’s survival as a stable, prosperous, and democratic nation. Ambiguity is no longer an option. It is not strategic nuance—it is political negligence, and the consequences will be dire.