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The Green Party and Labour are in an effective dead heat with Reform in this week’s upcoming Gorton and Denton by-election, with tactical voters leaning towards backing the Greens in order to defeat Nigel Farage’s party, an exclusive new poll commissioned by Byline Times and Forward Democracy suggests.
The poll, conducted by pollsters Opinium found that among all voters in the Manchester constituency the Greens are level with Labour on 28%, just one point ahead of Reform UK on 27%.
However, among those voters most likely to turn out on Thursday, the Greens edge ahead to 30%, with Labour and Reform both on 28%.
The poll suggests that tactical voting could easily swing the contest, with anti-Reform voters significantly more likely to switch to the Greens than to Labour.
Around two thirds (66%) of those Labour and Liberal Democrat voters surveyed said they would be prepared to switch to the Greens if they were the party most likely to beat Reform, compared to just 41% of Green and Lib Dem voters who said they would switch to Labour to defeat Farage’s party.
